Dylan Stagge’s NBA Big Board

  1. Markelle Fultz

Fultz is an elite offensive weapon. His ability to make tough shots and get to the rim with his height is amazing. Many of his weaknesses came from lack of effort, which I believe will improve leaving the terrible situation in Washington. His offensive skillset and defensive potential are unmatched by any other prospect in the draft.

Player Comparison: James Harden

  1. Lonzo Ball

Ball’s height, defense, transition, and range makes him one of the best PG prospects to come out in a while. However, I don’t see the quickness, and the lack of a mid range game along with some baggage in his dad (especially if he doesn’t go to the Lakers) pushes him below Markelle Fultz.

Player comparison: Jason Kidd

  1. Josh Jackson

Josh Jackson has a lot of versatility and athleticism in his game. He can score from anywhere inside the 3 point line and excels in making explosive plays. However, he is undersized to be able to truly be a defensive stopper at 207 lbs. Lebron James and big 4s will dominate him. Once Jackson fills out and improves the 3 point shooting, he will be an all-around great 3.

Player Comparison: Justice Winslow

  1. Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum reminds me of Melo, and I think that is exactly what he becomes in the NBA. He doesn’t have elite athleticism, but doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses either. Mid range game is strong and can continue to improve on defense.

Player Comparison: Melo

  1. De’Aaron Fox

In the time it took me to write this sentence, De’Aaron Fox just ran around Lonzo Ball again. Fox is speedy and is nearly unstoppable in transition and is a defensive stopper at PG with a 6’3.5 height. Once he fills out and develops a consistent jump shot, it won’t be the last time he drops 39 on Lonzo.

Player Comparison: Dennis Schroeder

  1. Dennis Smith Jr.

Smith is a great all around player and could be a top 3-5 pick in many drafts, but continues to fall down mock drafts. He is a great, explosive scorer, but an average passer and defensive player. With NBA players around him, he will become a better passer. Smith may not be picked until the end of the top 10 or even outside though.

Player Comparison: D-Wade

  1. Malik Monk

Monk has one of the most complete offensive games in the draft. He can shoot the ball from anywhere on the court, but is also streaky. Another downside to Monk is his size, only a 6’4 SG. I compare his game to CJ McCollum, another undersized SG that shoots from everywhere. I think Monk can be just as good in the NBA.

Player Comparison: CJ McCollum

  1. Jonathan Isaac

Isaac is a project, but has the tools to be an elite defender against positions 1-4. He shows flashes on offense, but still has a lot of work. He has a high ceiling that could go as high as Giannis, but could end up being a complete bust.

Player Comparison: Brandon Ingram

  1. Frank Ntilikina

Ntilikina is very raw, especially on offense. He can come in and contribute right away on defense with a 6’5 height and 7’0 wingspan. His offense is a work in progress, but his defensive potential alone gives him a floor of a defensive PG off the bench.

Player Comparison: Dante Exum

  1. Donovan Mitchell

Mitchell has risen quickly up draft boards with his combine performance and athleticism. He does it all: scores from all three levels, is explosive, and is solid on D. His ceiling would be Dwyane Wade and a floor would be Trey Burke.

Player Comparison: Avery Bradley

  1. John Collins

John Collins a a bouncy 4 that also shoots the ball well. He did it all for a bad Wake Forest team last year, so his numbers are a bit inflated. He is not polished defensively but has the body to guard both 3s and 4s. Overall solid late lottery pick with Blake Griffin potential

Player Comparison: Blake Griffin

  1. OG Anunoby

OG is a defensive stopper. With his quickness and 7’6 wingspan, he will be lockdown in the NBA. On offense, he finishes well and his jumper has potential. He will never be able to lead a team on the offensive side though, and his knee injury raises some concerns.

Player Comparison: Luc Mbah a Moute

  1. Lauri Markkanen

Markkanen is the Dirk/Porzingis stretch 4 type. He shoots the ball extremely well, and that opens up driving lanes for him. However, I believe Markkanen struggles greatly on the defensive side in the NBA. He can’t guard smaller, quicker stretch fours and big centers bully him. I think Markkanen has a role in the NBA, but won’t be a star.

Player Comparison: Ryan Anderson

  1. Harry Giles

Giles could have been the #1 pick in this draft if not for injuries. However, 3 knee surgeries limited his time at Duke and plummeted his draft stock. He still showed flashes post-injuries but if he can get back to what he was before, he will be the steal of the draft.

Player Comparison: Joel Embiid

  1. Luke Kennard

Kennard=JJ Redick- white guys from Duke that shoot the lights out. They also have the same weaknesses though. Kennard lacks athleticism (see: white guy) and only has a 6’5 wingspan. Kennard definitely has a role in the NBA as a shooter with all the 3s teams throw up these days.

Player Comparison: JJ Redick

  1. Zach Collins

Collins is a solid offensive player. He is good around the basket and shot the 3 efficiently when he (rarely) stepped out behind the line. However, he doesn’t do anything exceptional and his defense is below average. I wouldn’t spend a lottery pick on him

Player Comparison: Nicola Vucevic

  1. Jarrett Allen

Long, rangy, athletic rim protector. Not great yet on offense and is a bit of a project, but lots of potential.

Player Comparison: Tristan Thompson

  1. Justin Jackson

He shoots the ball well and went back to work on his shooting. He can also guard 3s and 4s in the NBA. He has average athleticism but could become at least a good 3 and D guy.

Player comparison: Matt Barnes

  1. Bam Adebayo

He tested well at the combine and is extremely athletic. He can provide a major impact on defense, but his offensive versatility does not match with the modern NBA big man. His athleticism and defensive potential could turn him into Deandre Jordan though.

Player Comparison: Deandre Jordan

  1. Semi Ojeleye

Ojeleye is big and extremely versatile. He can play 3 positions in the NBA (SG, SF, PF) and his shooting stroke and toughness will find him a role somewhere.

NBA Comparison: Jimmy Butler

  1. Terrance Ferguson

Ferguson decided to go overseas, and gained lots of experience playing against bigger guys at only 18 years old. He could end up being a great scorer in the NBA.

NBA Comparison: Terrence Ross

  1. Justin Patton

Good offensive versatility and scores well as a big man. He is limited defensively though as he is not super quick. Lots of potential though and could be a steal

Player Comparison: Jahlil Okafor

  1. TJ Leaf

Laef is a great, versatile scorer who will have a role somewhere as a stretch 4. However, his defense is limited and I don’t believe he ever develops into more than a bench shooter.

Player Comparison: Josh McRoberts

  1. DJ Wilson

Wilson is a bouncy 4 that can also shoot the ball. He does a little bit of everything and could probably play the 3 too. He isn’t very strong yet, though, and is not a great rebounder. If he continues to improve, he could find a Draymond Green type role in the NBA.

NBA Comparison: Aaron Gordon

  1. Ike Anigbogu

Anigbogu has the tools to become a solid offensive player and a defensive anchor. However, he didn’t play a lot at UCLA and struggled with much of his looks not at the basket. Lots of potential but is definitely a boom or bust prospect.

Player Comparison: Ed Davis

  1. Anzejs Pasecniks

Pasecniks is still underweight for an NBA center, but shows lots of potential to turn into a versatile big man who can step out and shoot the rock. Draft and stash candidate.

NBA Comparison: Myles Turner

  1. Ivan Rabb

Rabb is another guy with stretch 4 potential. He shoots it well and still grabs 10 reb a game. He didn’t do much to improve his stock (in fact dropped it) between freshman and sophomore year, but it could be due to a bad Cal team.

NBA Comparison: Andrew Nicholson

  1. Derrick White

White is a combo guard that can do a little bit of everything (18 ppg/4 rpg/4 ast/1 blk/1 stl). He can come off the bench right away to play either guard spot in the NBA.

NBA Comparison: E’twaun Moore

  1. Isaiah Hartenstein

Hartenstein has a body that can translate to the NBA. He is a good rebounder and is solid defensively. However, he struggles to finish and does not have the jump shot down yet. He has potential as a draft and stash candidate.

NBA comparison: Donatas Montejunas

  1. Tyler Lydon

Lydon does a little bit of everything, and will be a solid 3 and D prospect. He shoots it well and can defend other 3s pretty solidly.

NBA Comparison: Sam Dekker

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Michael Bailey’s NBA Mock Draft

2017 NBA Mock Draft

Michael Bailey

 

  1. Boston (From Brooklyn) – Markelle Fultz-PG/SG-Washington

Boston, coming off of the first seed in the East are in no place to start rebuilding, but definite changes are needed if they want to contend with the LeBron James-led Cavaliers team which is poised to return to the NBA finals seeking vengeance over the Warriors. Fultz could be the last piece of the puzzle for the Celtics and could be needed if they wanted to sign a stud in free agency like Gordon Hayward. Although I think it would be smart to trade this very valuable pick to gain a player like Paul George or Jimmy Butler, Fultz is the definite pick if they are to keep it.

 

  1. Los Angeles Lakers- Josh Jackson-SG-Kansas

After lucking out and keeping their pick this year, the Lakers are in a prime spot to help their team out tremendously at this number two pick. Many thought Lonzo was no doubt the guy to take here, it appears the Lakers weren’t that convinced by his workout with them. They like Jackson in his workout with them and it is likely that they will take him here.

 

  1. Philadelphia (from Sacramento)– Lonzo Ball-PG-UCLA

The Sixers have plenty of young talent with the likes of Simmons, Okafor, etc. But they have a dearth of talent in the backcourt. If Lonzo falls to them at 3, they should no doubt add his talent to their team. He has superstar potential and even if he becomes half the player his dad thinks he will be, he will be well worth the number 3 pick.

 

  1. Phoenix- Johnathan Isaac-SF-Florida St.

Isaac is a great athlete and if he can develop a solid jumper, could develop into a star in the NBA. The Suns could use a strong starting SF to go alongside Booker on the wing. Taking a chance on Isaac is the best move at 4 unless they want to trade down to get a center assuming they let Len walk.

 

  1. Sacramento (from Philadelphia)– De’Aaron Fox-PG-Kentucky

With Darren Collison and Ty Lawson becoming free agents this offseason, the PG position is the number 1 need for the Kings this offseason. Fox showed a lot of upside at Kentucky his freshman year and could be the next star of the Sacramento Kings organization if he falls to them at 5.

 

  1. Orlando– Jayson Tatum-SF-Duke

Orlando currently only have Terrence Ross and Aaron Gordon as their forwards for the upcoming season. Drafting Tatum will give them the opportunity to possibly develop a star SF and have Terrence Ross coming off the bench.

 

  1. Minnesota– Malik Monk-SG-Kentucky

Monk can socre. Averaging 19.8 points per game in his freshman year at Kentucky showed that he can put the ball into the basket. Minnesota has a lot of young talent and adding Monk gives them leeway when deciding if they want to give LaVine major mullah when deciding or not to extend his contract.

 

  1. New York– Frank Ntilikina-PG-INTL

Derrick Rose will be a free agent this offseason and it looks like New York will not bring him back. Ntilikina is a solid prospect at PG that the Knicks can hope for and develop alongside their other young star Kristaps Porzingis.

 

  1. Dallas- Dennis Smith Jr-PG-NC St.

Dallas is pretty limited in cap space this offseason so will most likely look to upgrade at PG in the draft and will grab whichever one between Ntilikina and Smith Jr. that the Knicks do not.

 

  1. Sacramento (From New Orleans)– Zach Collins-C-Gonzaga

After predicting them to draft De’Aaron Fox with the 5th pick in the draft, the Kings will try to find a full time replacement for Demarcus Cousins. Zach Collins can score and be presence for the Kings on the boards as well.

 

  1. Charlotte- Donovan Mitchell-SG-Louisville

The Hornets need to find some way to improve their team. Mitchell will give them good scoring off the bench and provide depth in the backcourt.

 

  1. Detroit- Luke Kennard-SG-Duke

The Pistons will most likely lose Kentavious Caldwell Pope in free agency due to another team offering him a crazy amount of money. Kennard can shoot and could be the SG for the Pistons next season.

 

  1. Denver- Justin Patton-C-Creighton

If the Nuggets decide to let Plumlee go in free agency, getting a center in the draft is necessary. Patton has some of the best upside out of all the centers in the draft.

 

  1. Miami- Harry Giles- PF/C-Duke

Although coming off of a knee injury, Giles still has great potential. If he can stay healthy he could blossom into a great starter in the NBA. At 14, I think the Heat can afford taking a risk on Giles and hope that he can stay healthy.

 

  1. Portland- Lauri Markkanen-PF-Arizona
  2. Chicago- Jarret Allen-C-Texas
  3. Milwaukee- Justin Jackson-SF-North Carolina
  4. Indiana- OG Anunoby-SF/PF-Indiana
  5. Atlanta- John Collins-PF-Wake Forest
  6. Portland (From Memphis via Denver and Cleveland)– Terrance Ferguson-SG-INTL
  7. Oklahoma City-Juwan Evans-PG-Oklahoma St.
  8. Brooklyn (From Washington)-Bam Adebayo-C-Kentucky
  9. Toronto (From LA Clippers via Milwaukee)-Tyler Lydon-PF/SF- Syracuse
  10. Utah- Ike Anigbogu-PF/C-UCLA
  11. Orlando (From Toronto)-T.J. Leaf-PF-UCLA
  12. Portland (From Cleveland)-Semi Ojeleye-SF/PF-SMU
  13. Brooklyn (From Boston)-Isaiah Hartenstein-PF/C-Germany
  14. Los Angeles Lakers (From Houston)-Jordan Bell-PF/C-Oregon
  15. San Antonio-Ivan Rabb-PF- California
  16. Utah (From Golden State)-Derrick White-PG/SG-Colorado

Should Basketball Players be Allowed to Enter the NBA after High School?

By: Dylan Stagge

High school basketball prospects have been banned from entering the NBA draft since 2006. The NBA instituted the “One-and-Done” rule to force players to wait at least one year after they graduate high school to enter the draft. The rule is called the “One-and-Done” rule because most top prospects go to college for one year before entering the NBA draft.

This argument always seems to come up around NBA draft time, and once again, people argue whether prospects such as Ben Simmons should have been able to enter the draft last year. Simmons is entering the NBA this year after a somewhat unsuccessful season at LSU. Even though he averaged 19.2 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 4.8 assists per game, it seemed at times like he was just coasting through the season and wanted the fastest track to the NBA draft. The stats from big games, such as Kentucky and Texas A&M, showed his production declined and he was not willing to step up in big games (“Ben Simmons”). LSU had a mediocre season and the team did not accomplish much. Simmons was even disqualified for the Wooden Award because he did not focus enough on his classes (Goodman). So, was a year of college really beneficial for Simmons’ NBA career?

There have been many players who have skipped college to enter the NBA Draft. This includes success stories such as Kobe Bryant, Lebron James, and Dwight Howard. Kobe Bryant and Lebron James will go down as two of the best players ever, and Howard has had great stats and earned big contracts throughout his career. However, there are also lots of NBA busts such as Darius Miles, Kwame Brown, and Eddy Curry that entered the draft after graduating high school (“List of NBA High School Draft Picks”). In deciding if the “One-and-Done” rule is fair or not, an important point is deciding if more players will end up being successes or busts. According to the NBA, most will be busts.

They’re not necessarily wrong. Skipping college is not the best idea for all players. Texas basketball coach Rick Barnes tells about Damion James, who went to college for one year and realized he should stay longer. “[Barnes] cited former Texas standout Damion James as a player who benefited from the NBA’s minimum age requirement for draft entrants. James might have considered turning pro after high school without the rule. And that would have been a mistake, Barnes said. His first year in Austin helped him assess his true NBA stock. James ultimately stayed for four seasons before the Atlanta Hawks drafted him in the first round of the 2010 draft” (Medcalf). This shows how college can be beneficial for players to mature and know their true draft stock. Going to college can help players be smarter about basketball and more NBA-ready.

The NBA implemented the “One-and-Done” rule because they decided it was too big of a risk to draft high school players. The way the “One-and-Done” rule is currently comprised benefits the NBA greatly. Syracuse basketball coach Jim Boeheim knows the NBA has the “One-and-Done” rule in their favor and there is no good solution for all parties. “’The NBA will not take kids out of high school; that’s a no-go,’ Boeheim says. ’It’s foolish to think about that, because the NBA doesn’t want those guys. The union, the player reps, they don’t want two years; they want to get them out as soon as they can. It’s just not a solvable problem’” (qtd. in Auerbach and Martin). This quote is very true. The “One and Done” system is a nearly perfect balance for the NBA. They get the players almost as early as possible, but still can judge if they will be good or not in the pros from their one year in college. This is a good solution for the NBA, but hurts players and colleges. The NBA greatly benefits from the college game and the “One-and-Done” rule because they do not have to pay players to have them developed for the extra year after high school. The college coaches develop the players so they are ready for the pros without the NBA paying a dime. They can scout college games easily because of the close proximity inside the United States. All of these things show how much the NBA is helped from the “One-and-Done” rule, but how much the players’ freedoms are limited.

Not being able to enter the NBA from high school puts some talented prospects in a bind. They cannot begin to play in their future league, so they either have to go to college, where there is no extra compensation and mediocre competition, or fly to a foreign country for a year for some compensation and mediocre competition to support their families. “Instead, they’re left playing in college for – often – less-than-market compensation. They’re stuck there so NBA owners (who don’t want to pay to develop their own talent), college coaches and administrators (whose salaries artificially inflated by the money their players aren’t allowed to receive) and marginal NBA players (who voted in a Collective Bargaining Agreement that excludes players who could threaten their jobs) can make more money” (Feldman). Some players are ready for the NBA, as players like Lebron James and Kevin Garnett have shown, but they do not have the freedom to go to the NBA after high school.

Overall, it should be the player’s choice whether they enter the NBA from high school. Every prospect and their family should be able to make their own decision whether it is worth the risk to enter the NBA Draft. Maybe entering the draft out of high school is not the best choice for everyone, but that is their decision, not the NBA’s.

 

Works Cited

Auerbach, Nicole, and Jeffrey Martin Sports. “One and Done, but Never as Simple as It

Sounds.” USA Today. Gannett, 18 Feb. 2014. Web. 27 Jan. 2016.

“Ben Simmons.” College Basketball at Sports-Reference.com. Sports-Reference.com,

n.d. Web. 12 July 2016.

Feldman, Dan. “Kobe Bryant: College Basketball System ‘really Isn’t Teaching Players

Anything’.” ProBasketballTalk. NBC Sports, 23 Jan. 2014. Web. 27 Jan. 2016.

Goodman, Jeff. “LSU Coach: Ben Simmons ‘didn’t Meet Requirements’ for Wooden

Award.” ESPN. ESPN Internet Ventures, 5 Mar. 2016. Web. 13 July 2016.

“List of NBA High School Draft Picks.” All About Basketball RSS. All About Basketball,

n.d. Web. 08 Feb. 2016.

Medcalf, Myron. “Roots of One-and-done Rule Run Deep.” ESPN. ESPN Internet

Ventures, 26 June 2012. Web. 26 Jan. 2016.